Race Preview

GPS-powered analysis of upcoming races

These are real upcoming races. We analyze each field using GPS history to predict the pace scenario and identify contenders.

GPS Track

Pace Scenario

Fast pace projected — favors closers

Fast
Moderate
Slow
3 front runners4 stalkers2 closers

With 3 front runners in the field, early fractions should be contested. Closers and stalkers who can sit off the pace are most likely to benefit.

What does this mean?

When multiple front runners are in the same race, they push each other to go faster early. This tires them out, giving closers an advantage in the final stretch. With 3 speed horses here, that is exactly the dynamic we expect.

HorseStyleSpeed Fig(normalized 80-110, higher = faster)ML Odds(morning line — track handicapper's opening odds)
ConfessionalStalker1042.5
Firestorm KingFront Runner1034.0
Moon Over MiamiStalker1013.0
Dawn PatrolCloser996.0
Steel ReserveStalker985.0
Harbor PointFront Runner9510.0
Sandcastle EmpireStalker9315.0
Street PharoahCloser9120.0
Vindication DayFront Runner8930.0
= style benefits from projected pace= neutral= pace works against them

Top Contenders

Confessional

Stalker

104

Top speed figure (104) should keep this stalker competitive regardless of pace.

Moon Over Miami

Stalker

101

Speed figure of 101 and tactical stalker style can adapt to the projected pace.

Dawn Patrol

Closer

99

Strong figure (99) and closer style is perfectly suited for the projected fast pace.